SC Testing Data & Projections (COVID-19)

Thursday, May 14, 2020, 3:34 pm 
This page will be updated regularly as information becomes available. 

Testing

DHEC's Public Health Laboratory receives samples from healthcare providers to be tested for COVID-19. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved some private labs to also conduct this CDC-approved testing for COVID-19. These labs are required to report cases of the virus to DHEC for residents of South Carolina. Cases in South Carolina, details on testing, positive cases indicated by heat map, and a summary of case reports and projections is below. Additional data can be found on the cases by by county & ZIP code and demographic data pages.

 

 

COVID-19 Testing in South Carolina

Negative tests from DHEC Public Health Laboratory 20,287
Negative tests from private laboratories 74,059
Total negative tests 94,346
Positive tests from DHEC Public Health Laboratory 2,905
Positive tests from private laboratories 5,284
Total positive tests 8,189
Total number of tests performed in South Carolina 102,535

 

Positive Cases Indicated by Heat Map

The 14-day Heat Map displays the most recent reported cases during the past 14-day period and estimates where the current burden is due to recently reported cases.

COVID-19 14-Day Rolling Heat Map - May 14, 2020

 

The heat map indicates reported cases of COVID-19 in the state. Regardless of the number of reported cases within an area, all South Carolinians should take seriously the recommended precautions for protecting against this disease. The cumulative Heat Map shows all historic reported cases of COVID-19.

COVID-19 Rolling Heat Map - May 14, 2020

 


 

Percent Positive Trends Among Reported COVID-19 Cases

Last updated May 13, 2020

As South Carolina increases testing, there will likely be more laboratory-confirmed cases. The percent positive graphs show trends in the percent of cases of COVID-19 relative to the number of tests performed during the last 28 and 14 days, respectively. The calculation is a result of the number of positive tests reported in a day (for May 13, 172) divided by the total number of tests performed on that same day by both DHEC’s laboratory and private laboratories (for May 13, 6,208), then multiplied by 100 to get the percent positive (2.8% for May 13).

When the percent positive is high, it may indicate that there isn't enough testing being performed to capture how much disease is in the community and testing may be focused on people who are more severely ill.

When the percent positive is low, it may indicate that more widespread testing is being performed and the percent positive may more accurately reflect how much disease is present in the community.

COVID-19 14 Day Percent Positive Graph 5.14.20

 

COVID-19 14 Day Percent Positive Graph 5.14.20

 

Summary of Case Reports through March 1 and Projections through May 30

Last updated May 11, 2020

Table 1 presents numbers of COVID-19 cases observed in the ‘Sunday through Saturday’ weeks since March 1 as well as projections of COVID-19 cases through to the week of May 24 – May 30.

For each week, numbers are presented regarding the number of new cases, the cumulative number of cases, the cumulative case rate per 100,000 persons, and whether the numbers were observed (i.e. confirmed cases reported to DHEC) or have been projected.

Table 1
Observed and Projected SC COVID-19 Cases by Week: March 1 to May 30

COVID-19 Projections Table 1 - March 1-May 30

 

Table 2 below provides additional perspectives on the projected case rate of 201 per 100,000 in SC on May 30, by comparing it to case rates already observed as of May 9 in those states that have suffered the greatest burden of COVID-19.

Table 2
Comparing South Carolina’s Projected COVID-19 Case Rate per 100,000 to Rates Already Observed as of May 9 by Selected Severely Impacted States

COVID-19 Projections Table 2 - May 11, 2020


Additional Notes and Explanations

  1. DHEC reports laboratory-confirmed cases so that the number of positive tests reported for a particular day are considered to be the number of new cases for that day. However, laboratories are not always able to process and test the specimens they receive on the same day of reception. This can relate to the time of day when some specimens reach them, and also to shortages of reagents needed to perform the tests.
  2. It is also important to note that uncertainties exist not only regarding projections made for the coming month. Since not all people who are positive will be tested, that the number of officially reported cases is not the same as the actual number of cases.
  3. For modeling, many assumptions are made and, therefore, these are just estimates of projected cases by week.

COVID-19 projections assuming full social distancing through May 2020


 

 

 

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COVID-19 Career of Service